Syrian displaced people in Lebanon, what are their fate after the sanctions against Syria?
Syrian displaced people in Lebanon
The region entered the stage of decisive strategic transformations after the events of Gaza on October 7, which were accompanied by the escalation of regional interventions and the participation of Hezbollah in supporting Hamas, which led to the change of balance of power in the region. The major surprise was the fall of the Syrian regime on December 8, 2024, in a dramatic development that shook the Middle East, and opened the door to extensive internal and external changes.
Syrian displaced people in Lebanon between Trump’s visit … and the decision to lift sanctions
In an exceptional development, former US President Donald was established Trump A historic visit to the region, during which he met the new Syrian President Ahmed Al -Shara, who took power after the collapse of the Assad regime. The visit was not only a protocol, but it resulted in fateful decisions, most notably Lifting US sanctions on SyriaThis can be considered a detailed event that may redraw the political and economic scene in the region.
According to informed political sources, this decision came as a result of international understandings aimed at ending the state of division and conflict, and opening a new page in the relationship with Damascus, especially after the fundamental change in the system, and its tendency to adopt more open and realistic policies towards home and abroad.
The impact of developments on Lebanon … signs of political breakthrough
Lebanon, which has long suffered from the repercussions of the Syrian crisis, began to pick the fruits of transformations.
After years of political stagnation, Army Commander Joseph Aoun was elected President of the Republic,
A new government has been formed to restore worn state institutions,
Reviving relations with Syria in a pragmatic way away from previous slogans.
The data indicate that the new Lebanese government is moving quickly towards Solve the most dangerous crisis of the Syrian displacement,
Especially in light of the new understandings between Beirut and Damascus, which are sponsored Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia With the support of the international community.
A Lebanese-Syrian agreement with Saudi sponsorship … to control and demarcate the borders
Riyadh announced its full support for the dialogue path between Lebanon and Syria,
I rushed to bring together representatives of the two governments in direct meetings that resulted in a preliminary agreement to require Setting the common wild borders, demarcating them, and addressing their associated security and living problems.
According to the information, Riyadh is following the implementation of the agreement step by step,
It encourages the two parties to take practical steps to address the displacement crisis, especially with the availability of the intention of both parties,
While the logistical and security capabilities are still limited, whether in Lebanon or Syria.
Syrian displaced people in Lebanon … There is no excuse to stay in Lebanon
Since the outbreak of the Syrian crisis in March 2011, Lebanon has endured the burdens of displacement, which exceeded one and a half million people.
Today, after the fall of the previous regime, the lifting of sanctions, and the return of security gradually to most of the Syrian regions, There are no longer logical excuses for the continuation of the majority of the displaced people in Lebanon.
Ministerial sources confirm that 95% of the Syrian displaced people on Lebanese soil are from the Sunni sect,
Any of the majority currently ruling in Syria, and therefore No security or political justification prevents them from returning.
The system that was oppressing its opponents has fallen, and Syria today is witnessing the rearrangement of power and rebuilding state institutions, and with Arab and international support for reconstruction, the return of the Syrians to their country is supposed to be a human and economic priority.
Security defect and border chaos
Despite all these positive data, the Lebanese-Syrian border is still witnessing daily violations, amid a clear security deficit.
Security sources indicate that the Lebanese army, which bears the burdens of implementation of Resolution 1701 in the south, does not have the sufficient number to control the northern and eastern borders that extend along hundreds of kilometers.
Reports confirm that Akkar areas, Hermel, Al -Qaa and Arsal It is used as major smuggling points, in which organized networks are active that facilitate the entry and exit of the Syrians illegally, taking advantage of the difficult terrain, the relaxation of security monitoring and the outbreak of corruption.
The Lebanese state … the responsibility of default
Almost a year ago, the Lebanese state began to look like a mobilization to address the displacement file.
The Ministry of Interior issued circulars, and some municipalities made decisions to expel the illegal Syrians, and the security forces raised the audit level.
However, this campaign soon was subjected, especially after the outbreak of the recent war in Gaza,
The new waves of displacement were followed towards Lebanon.
Today, and with The end of military operationsTens of thousands of Syrians returned to Lebanon, taking advantage of the poor official oversight and indolence, in a scene that proves the state’s failure to manage this file.
It is required today a sovereign decision and strict implementation
According to informed political sources, The Lebanese state can make a sovereign decision to remove every Syrian who does not have a legitimacy Immediately,
Provided that this is accompanied by direct coordination with the new Syrian government, and with Arab countries and international supporters, to secure financial and logistical facilities for the return of the displaced.
As for invoking the absence of reconstruction, it is, according to the sources, a “weak argument”,
because Lebanon itself suffers from a comprehensive economic, social and security destruction,
Nevertheless, this did not prevent the return of the people of the south, the Bekaa and the suburb to their areas, despite the absence of any serious reconstruction plans.
Lebanon is no longer possible … and the return has become possible
Lebanon has a historical opportunity to address one of the most dangerous files that bleed its economy and society, which is the file of the Syrian displacement.
All circumstances have become prepared: the fall of the former Syrian regime, the lifting of sanctions, relative stability in Syria, and international and Arab understandings.
What is missing is The decisive and serious political will in implementing the return planAway from fabricated auctions and fears.
Lebanon no longer tolerates more chaos and pressure,
The demographic and social balance must be restored, in order to preserve the remainder of the Lebanese entity.
