The next day !! Lebanon has a dangerous security and political junction
The next day !! Lebanon In front of a dangerous security and political junction
With the end of the municipal and optional entitlement in Lebanon,
Today, the Lebanese enter a new stage that carries many political, security, economic and social challenges.
The results of the recent municipal elections were not just numbers, but rather clearly reflected changes in the popular mood,
And clear indicators on the features of the next stage.
Municipal elections, between family and party
Electoral battles in most Lebanese villages and towns witnessed a mixture of family and political competition.
While some areas maintained their traditional family character, other partisan atmosphere emerged, especially in the major cities and regions of political weight.
With the completion of the municipal federations contract, which are usually more related to the parties than local councils,
The Lebanese citizen is awaiting future roles for the presidents of these federations,
Not only at the development level, but also in preparing for the next parliamentary entitlement after a year.
The “next day” challenges: security, economics, and weapons
Lebanon enters this “last day” with a set of hot files, led by the security file,
Which is considered the foundation stone in any real repair process.
Without security and stability, all economic and development plans remain ink on paper.
Observers unanimously agree that the first step towards consolidating security begins from extending the state to its authority over all Lebanese lands,
Starting with the Palestinian camps that are still outside the control of legitimacy, through the Hezbollah weapon,
Which constitutes the major knot in the local and regional political debate.
President Joseph Aoun: A quiet dialogue on a weapon outside the legitimacy
Since assuming the presidency of the Republic, the President announced General Joseph Aoun One of his priorities is the approach of the illegal weapon file, starting with the Palestinian weapon, and then moving to the Hezbollah weapon.
This approach has emerged clearly during the recent visit of Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas to Beirut,
Where the talks focused on the need to organize weapons inside the camps and hand it over to the Lebanese state according to specific mechanisms.
President Aoun is keen to take place through this file Quiet dialogue away from cramps،
With a suitable political climate that encourages compatibility instead of clash, in recognition of the sensitivity and complexities of this file.
Hezbollah and weapons: Between negotiation and implicit rejection
Although more than four months have passed since the beginning of the new presidential era, no advanced steps were recorded in the “Hezbollah” weapon file.
Neither the dialogue was launched, nor “the party” has yet expressed an actual preparation to enter into serious negotiations on the future of its weapon.
Political sources unanimously agree that Hezbollah considers weapons a negotiating strategic paper,
It cannot be abandoned before the image of the region and major international understandings,
Especially in light of the tense relationship between the Iranian axis and the West, and the pressures that Lebanon is exposed to from several sides.
Party’s position: Sufficiently presented at this stage
In his recent media looks, he emphasized Sheikh Naim QasimHezbollah Deputy Secretary -General,
The party presented the most possible in relation to the ceasefire agreement south of the Litani River,
Considering that Israel still violates this agreement daily, while the party is accurately committed to its provisions.
According to this proposal, Hezbollah believes that the time has not yet come for any final settlement related to its weapon.
Considering that any other conversation is nothing but a way to distract public opinion from the basic crises that afflict the country.
The international community, external pressure, and the next day
In this context, a major question arises: Will the expected dialogue be accomplished, or will things remain stuck?.
There are external pressure on the presidency Morgan OrtigosDeputy American envoy to the Middle East, in her recent statements, about the need to reach a comprehensive solution to the problem of weapons in Lebanon.
It seems that there is an intention for the international community to support any path that leads to the inventory of arms in the hands of the Lebanese state.
Based on the consideration of this is an essential entrance to restore international confidence in Lebanon, and to secure the economic aid required to recover it from its current crisis.
The next day !! Towards a reform start with the new government
With the completion of the new parliament expected to be elected next year,
Reforms are supposed to be associated with The formation of a government capable of implementing a comprehensive economic agenda،
It responds to the requirements of the International Monetary Fund, restructuring public institutions, and enhances the role of the private sector in saving the economy.
These steps remain dependent on a comprehensive political stability, based on security, and its key to restricting weapons in the hands of the state.
Lebanon is in front of a crossroads
In conclusion, he stands Lebanon today At a crossroads.
Either he succeeds in managing a constructive internal dialogue that leads to withdrawing tension, controlling weapons, and starting with serious reforms,
Either the crises remain in their place, pending regional data that may not come in it.
The next day! It is not just a day after the elections, but rather the beginning of a new path, determining the future of Lebanon and its future generations.
Will this day be a starting point towards a strong, fair state, or merely a passing station in the series of continuous crises?
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