A political explosion waving the horizon !! And no American “grace period” after today
A political explosion waving the horizon !! No American “Samah” period after today
The relationship between Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and Hezbollah is witnessing an unprecedented escalation,
An open political clash in the coming days, amid clear external support for peace situations, is vowed.
And a noticeable change in the tone of the American discourse towards Lebanon.
Did Lebanon actually enter the stage of “breaking the taboo”? Will the “Hezbollah” weapon be the next station for the internal and external confrontation together?
“Zionist peace”! Easily slogans
In an unfamiliar scene, the supporters of Hezbollah chanted from the Sports City against Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, describing it as “Zionist”.
Against the background of his recent statements, in which he stressed that “there is no weapon outside the authority of the state”, and that “the era of exporting the Iranian revolution has ended.” These chants,
Which did not pass the honorable passage, it was a clear indication of the cracking of the relationship between the two parties,
Especially since the official response from the “Al -Wafa Resistance” bloc came by Representative Mohamed Raad from Baabda Palace,
He said that he “will not respond to President Salam in order to preserve the remainder of the friend.”
From the ministerial statement to the explosion, what changed?
What is surprising is that “Hezbollah” has already granted confidence to the government of Nawaf Salam based on a clear ministerial statement that explicitly stipulates “the inventory of arms in the hands of the state.”
This is confirmed by follow -up political sources, asking about the reason for this coup in the party’s position.
Was the approval of the statement a tactical maneuver? Or will the escalation of peace exceeded “red lines”?
In fact, the statements of Nawaf Salam in Dubai were not merely a transient speech in a media forum, but rather a clear intention to a state project that rejects the “bilateral weapon” and “dualism”.
He said it clearly: “Our project is based on the correlation of reform and sovereignty … We want Lebanon, which has its decision in peace and war.”
This sentence alone is sufficient to blow up the fragile balances adopted by successive governments since the Taif Agreement.
UAE and American support unprecedented
On the sidelines of his participation in the “Arab Media Summit 2025”, President Salam met Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed, President of the UAE, who reaffirmed his country’s fixed position towards the unity, sovereignty of Lebanon and its support for stability and development. But the most important thing came in terms of more sensitive: American delegate Morgan Ortigos, who expressed public admiration for peace situations, according to diplomatic information.
Follow -up sources confirmed that Ortigos will visit Lebanon soon, and this time will not come carrying soft diplomatic “advice”, but rather “specific time time” demanding the delivery of Hezbollah’s weapon from northern Litani and south alike. According to the same information, Washington informed those concerned in Beirut that “no grace period” after today, a phrase that reflects a major shift in the American pressure strategy.
Israeli pressures and a political explosion waving the horizon
The transformation does not stop at the boundaries of American statements. Israel – according to the diplomatic corridors leaked – refuses to withdraw from the five points that it still occupies in southern Lebanon, unless a comprehensive agreement is reached on the 13 disputed points on the land borders. This step comes within an additional basket of pressure that includes the refusal of the extension of the “UNIFIL” forces, which opens southern Lebanon to worrying possibilities in the event of the withdrawal of international forces from their positions.
This indirect threat brings to mind the equation that Tel Aviv has always adopted: political pressure is accompanied by security pressure. Consequently, the file of weapons is no longer an internal matter, but it has become a regional -international paper on the table, used to arrange new balances in the post -economic collapse Lebanon.
A government in the range of fire … and “Saddami”
What cannot be ignored is that Nawaf Salam did not come from a traditional political background, but rather from a legal diplomatic background, which made him bolder in launching “prohibited” files. Perhaps this frankness, which was lacking in previous governments, was the ones that quickly opened the doors of confrontation. Just three months after his government has confidence, the man in the “political veto” goal became one of the strongest components in the state.
But peace does not seem retreat. On the contrary, his speech in Dubai indicates a clear intention to continue the path, even if this leads to confrontation. “I will not remain silent about weapons outside the control of the state … We demand peace,” said in an international media forum, in front of an Arab and international audience, which means that his statements are no longer directed to local consumption, but rather a message abroad that someone wants to restore the kidnapped Lebanon.
Where do things go?
The question that everyone asks today: Are we facing the beginning of an actual break between Hezbollah and the Prime Minister? And if the relationship between the party and the President of the Republic is described as “distinctive”, how can this reality be reconciled and a hostile relationship with the prime minister?
The equation has become complicated, especially since the Americans, and with them the Gulf, seem to have found in Nawaf Salam an opportunity to re -introduce the state project. On the other hand, Hezbollah does not seem ready to waive its “strategic weapon”, or to allow the arms file to be a negotiating item in the hands of an external support.
A political explosion waving the horizon !! Was the battle of “weapon” actually opened?
It is clear that Lebanon has entered a new stage, its title, the open confrontation between the “Complete Sovereignty” project and the “weapon -based balance” project. With the escalation of regional and international positions and the intensification of the economic blockade, the coming days will be decisive.
Either Nawaf Salam succeeds in imposing a new equation that restores the Lebanese state, or is met with a political storm that reproduces paralysis and obstruction … and the decision in the end is not in Beirut alone, but in the major decision capitals, from Washington to Tehran.
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