The nuclear winter .. the worst as the trays of humanity if this eruption erupted !!
Nuclear winter
In light of the escalation of dangerous tension between India And Pakistan, fears of the outbreak of a catastrophic nuclear confrontation between the two nuclear -armed neighboring neighbors, to the fore again,
What prompts the international community to a state of maximum alertness and increasing warnings of unprecedented consequences for all humanity.
The background of the crisis: an escalation in Kashmir
The last escalation between the two countries started on April 22,
After an attack, 26 people were killed in the city of Bahgham, located in the Indian part of the Kashmir region.
India accused Pakistan -based groups of involvement in the operation, while Islamabad denied any official involvement.
Since then, the two countries have entered into a cycle of mutual shelling and fire on the border, killing and wounding dozens,
Amid a dangerous escalation of fiery letters on both sides.
What is “nuclear winter”?
According to a study prepared by the American University of Ratgers,
The outbreak of a nuclear war between India and Pakistan may kill more than 100 million people within a few minutes.
But the danger does not stop at that. Rather, the huge fire caused by nuclear explosions may release huge amounts of smoke and soot to the atmosphere, so the sun’s rays are blocked for a long time,
This leads to a sharp decrease in temperatures on the surface of the Earth.
This phenomenon is known as the “nuclear winter”, and is believed to cause global famine due to the failure of agricultural crops around the world.
The nuclear capabilities of the two parties
India and Pakistan are among the few nuclear countries in the world, and they have two close arsenal:
- IndiaIt has about 160 nuclear heads, along with ballistic missiles capable of reaching distant areas.
- PakistanIt possesses approximately 165 nuclear heads, and depends on its strategy on “deterrence through early use”, which means that it may resort to using the nuclear weapon immediately if it feels an existential threat.
Despite this huge arsenal, both countries do not possess effective setting systems for the second confirmed strike or advanced missile defenses,
This makes the possibility of a nuclear catastrophe to occur in the event of any miscalculation or escalating escalation.
How can a nuclear war begin?
One of the most dangerous scenarios, according to analysts, is for the current traditional escalation to turn into an all -out war, pushing one of the two parties to use his nuclear weapon as a proactive step or a retaliatory response.
The risk is that this type of escalation does not necessarily require a deliberate central decision, but rather it may be a result of a mistake or misleading intelligence.
The position of the international community: warnings and calls for self -control and avoiding nuclear winter
In front of these disturbing developments, international reactions continued:
- China: She expressed her “deep concern” and called for “immediate calm”.
- Russia: The two parties demanded the practice of “the maximum level of restraint” and to avoid any additional escalation.
- USPresident Donald expressed Trump About his hope for a “quick stop for hostilities”, while Foreign Minister Marco Rubio made contacts with his counterparts from both sides to push towards a direct dialogue.
- United Nations: Secretary -General Antonio Guterres warned that “the world cannot bear a new nuclear confrontation,” stressing the importance of peaceful solutions.
Disaster scenario: What may happen after the first nuclear strike?
If a nuclear war erupted between India and Pakistan, the effects will not only be limited to the two countries, but will extend to the whole world:
- Huge human lossesMillions of dead and wounded during the first minutes of the strikes.
- Comprehensive infrastructure destruction: Collapse in communications, transportation, and medical services.
- Unprecedented refugee crisisA collective displacement of the population from the areas of conflict, which exhausts neighboring countries.
- Global nuclear winter: Withholding sunlight and low temperatures, which leads to the failure of agriculture and the spread of famine.
- The collapse of the global economy: Supply chains, the collapse of financial markets, and the high food and energy prices.
Everyone’s responsibility: Preventing the nuclear winter disaster before it occurred
The catastrophic scenario of a nuclear war between India and Pakistan is not inevitable, but it is possible if there are no serious steps to calm down and diplomacy.
The international community, including the major powers and multilateral institutions, is responsible for multiplying mediation efforts and preventing any additional deterioration that may ignite a war that does not remain or abuse.
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