From Iran to Lebanon: Forget the delivery of weapons
Al -Hashem Star – Call of the homeland
“Hezbollah” will not deliver weapons. Point on the line.
Contrary to everything that talks that negotiations with the “party” revolve around persuading it to hand over its weapon, it seems that the “party” with Iran is elsewhere. It does not matter if the position of the “party” comes behind Iran’s position, or if Iran’s position is behind the “party” position. There is a declared political optimism that may not reflect the reality of the convictions and ideas that move the new authority in Lebanon, but there is in return a great pessimism that can hide a expected dilemma and an explosion. The crisis cannot be hidden long with optimism.
The President of the Republic, General Joseph Aoun, said in an interview with “Al -Jazeera” channel before his visit to Qatar that the army is carrying out its duty south of the Litani, dismantling tunnels and confiscating weapons without objection from “Hezbollah”. He pointed out that the “party” is aware of the benefit of Lebanon, and the international and regional circumstances help to do so.
There is no doubt that the Lebanese share the President of the Republic, optimistic about the possibility of solving the problem of Hezbollah’s weapon with understanding and accepting the automatic “party”. But is this the reality? Is the party able to give up its weapon? What remains of him and him if he abandoned him? What is the position of Iran to which the decision is due in this matter as long as it is negotiating with the “Great Satan” on its nuclear program?
Lebanon is between the Embassy of Aker and the Iranian embassy
If Washington’s American embassy in Awkir is the largest embassy in Lebanon and in the region, the Iranian embassy in Beirut could be the second in terms of role and size. Not far from its old headquarters, Iran built a new headquarters for its embassy in Bir Hassan in the southern suburb of Mr. Abbas Al -Mousawi Street of the municipality of Burj Al -Barajneh. There are large, large iron gates, high white stone fences, and guards at entrances, which can be seen by transit from there easily. This headquarters is not far from the old building that turned into a headquarters of the consulate after it was exposed to two suicide operations on November 19, 2013, during the participation of Iran and Hezbollah in the war in Syria in defense of the Assad regime.
Between the Embassy of Tehran and Washington in Lebanon, the race is raging on the issue of handing over weapons and the implementation of decisions 1559 and 1701 and the cessation of the ceasefire agreement. If Washington’s positions are clear, declared, and strictly expressed by President Trump and his delegate Morgan Ortigos, the Iranian position is not a secret of secrets and Tehran expressed from the guide to the president and other leaders. The two positions are in Lebanon and in the Republican Palace in Baabda at the table of the President of the Republic, who did not hesitate to say in front of an Iranian delegation that included the President of the Shura Council, Muhammad Baqir Qalibaf, Foreign Minister Abbas Araqji, and the ambassador to Lebanon Mujtaba Amani, on February 23 that Lebanon is tired of the wars of others.
Geagea and the backbone of confrontation with the “party”?
Saturday, April 12, Tehran resumed negotiations with Washington in the Sultanate of Oman. Among the two countries are many files, including the Iranian weapon, its nuclear program and its arms in the region, the Lebanon file and the “party” weapon. These negotiations come in the first place, and there may be those who are waiting for their results in Lebanon, on the basis of which the way to deal with Hezbollah weapon is based. But there is a clear Iranian talk in this field expressed by a diplomatic source.
In short, the source considers that “there is no surrender to the” Hezbollah “weapon even if an agreement takes place between Washington and Tehran. The issue, according to the source, is not related to Iran, but rather the “party” that has its decision. The source starts from negotiations between Iran and Washington and focuses on the importance of Muscat choosing to meet instead of the Emirates. The Sultanate of Oman has been hosting such negotiations for a long time. While with the Emirates there are many problems, not the least of which is the subject of the three disputed islands, but without this affecting the trade and tourism exchange between the two countries. The insistence on Oman was also to understand Washington that Tehran could not accept what President Trump is trying to impose on it. The source asserts that “Iran is limiting negotiations to the issue of the nuclear program and does not exceed it to the missiles or the so -called Iran’s arms in the region from” Hezbollah “in Lebanon, to the popular crowd in Iraq, and the Houthis in Yemen. It is not the first time that this program has been negotiated from President Rouhani to the President, to the current stage, and the ruling in Washington has also followed more than one president. Therefore, the source is that” there is no effect on these negotiations on ” God ”who since its foundation began armament and resistance. If the “party” holds its weapon, Israel will sweep Lebanon the next day. And you will not differentiate between the suburb and Maralab, the headquarters of the head of the “Lebanese Forces” party, Samir Geagea. “
There is no bet on the army and skeptical of Assad
The source is said that the “Hezbollah” experience did not protect it or fell Lebanon. The evidence for this is the great losses incurred by the “party” and the fall of its theories about strategic deterrence and the balance of terror, and Beirut against Tel Aviv, and that the Lebanese army is the one that secures the borders of Lebanese sovereignty and protects it under the new official authority, decisions and international protection. But he asks about the guarantee that international decisions can give by returning to those related to the Arab -Israeli conflict and the issue of Iran and its war with Iraq, for example. The source considers that “there is no bet on this army because it is unable to protect Lebanon as long as it is not armed with what constitutes a balance with Israel. Therefore, Hezbollah’s weapon remains the guarantee.”
For comparison, the source goes towards Syria. “During the days of Bashar al -Assad’s regime, years after providing military, financial and moral support to him. His army was about 500,000 soldiers who collapsed and did not fight. Why? Because he did not give him orders. When Abbas Araqji visited the Iranian Foreign Minister and Ali Larijani, the adviser to the guide, Assad, when the process of leaving Idlib towards Aleppo, and offered him support to repel the attack.” The Iranian source believes that “Assad was convinced of the uselessness of the fighting and that he had taken the decision to resort to Russia. He did not want to fight and he decided to leave.” Why? The source has no explanation for that, but he considered that “if there was resistance in Syria as the resistance of” Hezbollah “in Lebanon, the regime would not end in this way, and this resistance was the alternative to the army that moves with the will of the regime, and it collapses when the regime wants, and falls into the first confrontation.” In an interview with the source, a great blame for Assad holds him responsible for the fall, which was a fall of Iran’s strategy in the region in terms of cutting the line of communication with Hezbollah, which paid heavy losses with Iran in defense. The regime does not relieve the responsibility of targeting Iran’s leaders, Hezbollah and the Revolutionary Guards there. Therefore, he does not want to see what happened in Syria is repeated in Lebanon.
Neither the “party” wants, nor power wants
The source considers that “not” Hezbollah “wants to hand over its weapon, nor the current authority in Lebanon wants to take off its weapon or take it. The” party “had no role in establishing the resistance in Lebanon only, but also in Iraq and Yemen. When ISIS began threatening Syria and moving to Iraq, Hezbollah sent experts in fighting to Iraq to help the Iraqis stand in the face of ISIS. They did not find any aid, so they used Iran and “Hezbollah”.
Did the circumstances not change today after the targeting of Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Sanaa, the flight of Bashar al -Assad, and after Trump’s threat to Iran? The source replies: “It is not the first time that the Islamic Republic has been threatened and the siege. Therefore, the source considers that “the bet of Trump’s threats to Iran will also fail and Iran will remain strong and” Hezbollah “will remain strong. The source advised the Lebanese to “understand with” Hezbollah “on its role, and that its weapon strengthens Lebanon.” He compared to Iran’s agreement with Saudi Arabia in China. But he does not miss it to criticize the role of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in Lebanon, as all the information that is leaked and targets Hezbollah and Iran is the source of the Saudi media. The most recent of which is that the popular crowd will hand over its weapon in Iraq. The source denies this. He says: “When the Americans occupied Iraq, they dissolved the Iraqi army. Why? So that Iraq does not have a strong army. The popular crowd in Iraq as“ Hezbollah ”in Lebanon.
